Publications

See below a list of my publications sorted by year:

Accepted/ In Press

    2022

    • Molina-Venegas, R., Morales-Castilla, I. & Rodríguez, M.A. (2022) Unreliable prediction of B-vitamin source species. Nature Plants, 1-3. Read.
    • Rebollo, S., Pérez-Camacho, L., Martínez-Hesterkamp, S., Tapia, L., Fernández-Pereira, J.M. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2022) Anything for a quiet life: shelter from mobbers drives reproductive success in a top‐level avian predator. Journal of Avian Biology, e03060. Read . *Senior author
    • Wolkovich, E.M., Chamberlain, C., Buonaiuto, D., Ettinger, A.K., & Morales-Castilla, I. (2022) Integrating experiments to predict interactive cue effects on spring phenology with warming. New Phytologist, 235, 1719-1728. Read.
    • Molina-Venegas, R., Morales-Castilla, I. & Rodríguez, M.A. (2022) Significant phylogenetic signal is not enough to trust phylogenetic predictions. bioRxiv. Read.
    • Velado-Alonso, E., Morales-Castilla, I. & Gómez Sal, A., (2022) The landscapes of livestock diversity: grazing local breeds as a proxy for domesticated species adaptation to the environment. Landscape Ecology, 37 (4), 1035-1048. Read.

    2021

    • Morales-Castilla, I., Pappalardo, P., Farrell, M.J., Aguirre, A.A., Huang, S., Gehman, A.L.M., Dallas, T., Gravel, D., & Davies, T.J. (2021) Forecasting parasite sharing under climate change. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 376, 20200360. Read.
    • Farrell, M.J., Park, A.W., Cressler, C.E., Dallas, T., Huang, S., Mideo, N., Morales-Castilla, I., Davies, T.J., & Stephens, P. (2021) The ghost of hosts past: impacts of host extinction on parasite specificity. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 376, 20200351. Read.
    • Wolkovich, E.M., Auerbach, J.L., Chamberlain, C., Buonaiuto, D., Ettinger, A.K., Morales-Castilla, I., & Gelman, A. (2021) A simple explanation for declining temperature sensitivity with warming. Global Change Biology, 27, 4947-4949. Read.
    • van Dam, A., Dekker, M., Morales-Castilla, I., Rodríguez, M.Á., Wichmann, D., & Baudena, M. (2021) Correspondence analysis, spectral clustering and graph embedding: applications to ecology and economic complexity. Scientific Reports, 11, 8926, Read.
    • Bennett, J.M., Sunday, J., Calosi, P., Villalobos6, F., Martínez, B., Molina-Venegas, R., Araújo, M.B., Algar, A.C., Clusella-Trullas, S., Hawkins, B.A., Keith, S., Kühn, I., Rahbek, C., Rodríguez, L., Singer, A., Morales-Castilla, I.,* & Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á.* (2021) The evolution of critical thermal limits of life on Earth. Nature Communications, 12, 1198. Read
    • Ettinger, A.K., Buonaiuto, D., Chamberlain, C., Morales-Castilla, I., & Wolkovich, E.M. (2021) Spatial and temporal shifts in photoperiod with climate change. New Phytologist. Read.
    • Wolkovich, E.M., Auerbach,J.L., Chamberlain, C.J., Buonaiuto, D.M., Ettinger, A.K., Morales-Castilla, I. & Gelman, A. (2021) A simple explanation for declining temperature sensitivity with warming.bioRXiv. Read.
    • Buonaiuto, D., Morales-Castilla, I., & Wolkovich, E.M. (2021) Reconciling competing hypotheses regarding flower-leaf sequences in temperate forests for fundamental and global change biology. New Phytologist, 229(3), 1206-1214. Read.
    • Chamberlain, C., Cook, B.I., Morales-Castilla, I., & Wolkovich, E.M. (2021) Climate change reshapes the drivers of false spring risk across European trees. New Phytologist, 229, 323-334. Read.
    • Morales-Castilla, I., & Wolkovich, E.M. (2021) Diversity may save wines from climate change. The Science Breaker. Read

    2020

    • Velado-Alonso, E., Morales-Castilla, I. & Gómez Sal, A., (2020) Recent land use and management changes decouple the adaptation of livestock diversity to the environment. Scientific Reports, 10, 21035, Read.
    • Ettinger, A.K., Chamberlain, C., Morales-Castilla, I., Buonaiuto, D., Flynn, D.F.B., Savas, T., Samaha, J., & Wolkovich, E.M. (2020) Winter temperatures dominate spring phenological responses to warming. Nature Climate Change, 10, 1137–1142. Read.
    • Velado-Alonso, E., Morales-Castilla, I., Rebollo, S. & Gómez Sal, A., (2020) Relationships between the distribution of wildlife and livestock diversity. Diversity and Distributions, 26, 1264-1275. Read.
    • Morales-Castilla, I., García de Cortázar-Atauri, I., Cook, B.I., Lacombe, T., Parker, A., van Leeuwen, C., Nicholas, K.A. & Wolkovich, E.M. (2020) Diversity buffers winegrowing regions from climate change losses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, US, 117 (6), 2864-2869. Read.
    • Morales-Castilla, I., Davies, J.T. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2020) Historical contingency, niche conservatism and the tendency for some taxa to be more diverse towards the poles. Journal of Biogeography, 47 (4), 783-794. Read.
    • Pappalardo, P., Morales-Castilla, I., Park, A.M., Huang, S., Schmidt, J.P. & Stephens, P. (2020) Comparing methods for mapping global parasite diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 29 (1), 182-193. Read.

    2019

    • Sunday, J., Bennett, J.M., Calosi, P., Clusella-Trullas, S., Gravel, S., Hargreaves, A.L., Leiva, F.P., Verberk, W.C.E.P., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2019) Thermal tolerance patterns across latitude and elevation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 374 (1778), 20190036. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0036 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0036.
    • Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., Ferreira Amado, T., Bini, L.M., Martínez, P.A., Morales-Castilla, I., Torres-Romero, E.J., & Villalobos, F. (2019) Biological traits, phylogeny and human footprint signatures on the geographic range size of passerines (Order Passeriformes) worldwide.Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28 (8), 1183-1194. Read.
    • Dallas, T., Gehman, A.L.M., Aguirre, A.A., Budischak, S.A., Drake, J.M., Farrell, M.J., Ghai, R., Huang, S. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2019) Contrasting latitudinal gradients of body size in helminth parasites and their hosts. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28 (6), 804-813, Read.
    • Wolkovich, E.M. & Morales-Castilla, I. (2019) Why varietal diversity is critical to winegrowing’s warmer future. Wine & Viticulture journal, 34(1): 48-53. Read
    • Harfoot, M.B.J., Abraham, A., Tittensor, D.P., Costa, G.C., Faurby, S., Feldman, A., Itescu, Y., Meiri, S., Morales-Castilla, I., Oliveira, B.F. & Purves, D. (2019) Mechanistic macroecology: exploring the drivers of latitudinal variation in terrestrial body size in a General Ecosystem Model. bioRxiv, 775957. Read .

    2018

    • Pearse, W.D., Morales-Castilla, I., Smith, L.S., Farrel, M., Boivin, F. & Davies J.T. (2018) Complexity is complicated and so too is comparing complexity metrics—a response to Mikula et al. (2018) Evolution, 72(12):2836-2838. DOI: 10.1111/evo.13636.
    • Morales-Castilla, I., Davies, J.T. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2018) Historical contingency, niche conservatism and the tendency for some taxa to be more diverse towards the poles. Peer J Preprints, 6:e26440v1, DOI: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.26440v1.
    • Wolkovich, E.M., García de Cortázar-Atauri, I., Morales-Castilla, I., Nicholas, K.A. & Lacombe, T. (2018) From Pinot Xinomavro in the world's future winegrowing regions. Nature Climate Change, 8: 29-37.
    • Bennett, J.M., Calosi, P., Clusella-Trullas, S., Martínez, B., Sunday, J., Algar, A.C., Araújo, M.B., Hawkins, B.A., Keith, S.A., Kühn, I., Rahbek, C., Rodríguez, L., Singer, A., Villalobos, F., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2018) GlobTherm database: a global database on thermal tolerances for marine and terrestrial organisms. Nature Scientific Data, 5:180022, DOI: 10.1038/sdata.2018.22. *Senior author
    • Pearse, W.D., Morales-Castilla, I., Smith, L.S., Farrel, M., Boivin, F. & Davies J.T. (2018) Global macroevolution and macroecology of passerine song. Evolution, 72(4):944-960. Read .
    • Martínez-Hesterkamp, S., Rebollo, S., Kennedy, P.L., Pérez-Camacho, L., García-Salgado, G. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2018) Territoriality in diurnal raptors: relative roles of recent evolution, diet and nest site. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 124: 126-137. *Senior author
    • Sol, D., Maspons, J., González-Voyer, A., Morales-Castilla, I., Garamszegi, L.Z. & Pape-Moller, A. (2018) Risk-taking behaviour, urbanization and the pace of life in birds. Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 72: 59.
    • Pérez-Camacho, L., Martínez-Hesterkamp, S., Rebollo, S., García-Salgado, G. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2018) Structural complexity of hunting habitat and territoriality increase the reversed sexual size dimorphism in diurnal raptors.Journal of Avian Biology, DOI: 10.1111/jav.01745. Read . *Senior author
    • Ruiz-Benito1, P., Andivia, E., Archambeaou, J., Astigarraga, J., Barrientos, R., Cruz-Alonso, V., Florencio, M., Gómez, D., Martínez-Baroja, L., Quiles, P., Rohrer, Z., Santos, A.M.C., Velado, E., Villén-Pérez, S. & Morales-Castilla, I.* (2018) Ventajas de la estadística bayesiana frente a la frecuentista: ¿por qué nos resistimos a usarla?Ecosistemas, 27(2):136-139. *Senior author

    2017

    • Morales-Castilla, I., Pearse, D.W., Davies, J.T. & Peres-Neto, P. (2017) Combining phylogeny and co-occurrence to improve single species distribution models. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26: 740-752. Read
    • Bezeng S.B.*, Morales-Castilla, I.*, Van Der Bank M., Yessoufou K. Daru B.H. & Davies T.J. (2017) Climate change may reduce the spread of non-native and invading species in South Africa. Ecosphere, 8(3): e01694. 10.1002/ecs2.1694. *Dual first authors Read
    • Estrada A., Morales-Castilla I., Mireles, C., Caplat P. & Early R. (2017) What can life-history traits tell us about species’ range-shift responses to climate change? A multi-taxon approach. Ecography, DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02968. Read

    2016

    • Torres-Romero, E.J., Morales-Castilla, I., & Olalla-Tárraga M.Á. (2016) Bergmann´s rule in the oceans? Temperature determines global interspecific patterns of body size in marine mammals. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 25: 1206-1215. Read
    • Estrada A., Morales-Castilla, I., Caplat P. & Early R. (2016) Species ecological traits in terrestrial climate change risk assessment. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 31: 190-203. Read
    • García-Valdés, R. & Morales-Castilla, I. (2016) Effects of climate change on forest ecosystems: integrating inventories and models. Ecosistemas, 25(3): 51-59 Read

    2015

    • Morales-Castilla, I., Matías, M., Gravel, D. & Araújo M.B. (2015) Inferring biotic interactions from proxies. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 30: 347–356. Read
    • Estrada A., Meireles C., Morales-Castilla, I., Kühn I., Poschlod P., Araújo M. & Early R. (2015) Species’ intrinsic traits inform their range limitations and vulnerability under environmental change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24: 849–858. Read
    • Rueda, M., Moreno, J.C. Morales-Castilla, I., Alburquerque, F.S., Ferrero, M. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2015) Fragmentation enhances the extinction threshold of some forest understory plant species in Peninsular Spain. PlosOne, 10-5: e0126424.
    • Rueda, M., Moreno, J.C. Morales-Castilla, I., Alburquerque, F.S., Ferrero, M., & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2015) Correction: Detecting fragmentation extinction thresholds for forest understory plant species in Peninsular Spain. PlosOne. 10 - 7. Read

    2014

    • Morales-Castilla, I. & García-Valdés, R. (2014) Reverse latitudinal diversity gradients, exceptions that prove the rule?. Ecosistemas, 23: 4-12. Read

    2013

    • Rueda, M., Hawkins, B.A., Morales-Castilla, I., Vidanés, R. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2013) Does fragmentation increase extinction thresholds? A Western European-wide test with seven forest birds. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 22: 1282–1292, doi: 10.1111/geb.12079. Read
    • Ferrero, M., Morales-Castilla, I., Rueda, M. Moreno, J.C. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2013) Cuantificando la cobertura y fragmentación de los bosques globalmente y en la vegetación mediterránea. In Cuartas Jornadas de Jóvenes Investigadores de la University of Alcalá: Ciencias / ed. By Ros, G., Aguado, J., Hidalgo, M.Á., Guerrero, A., ISBN 978-84-15834-15-1, 75-84.
    • Morales-Castilla, I. (2013) Niche conservatism and evolutionary determinants of terrestrial vertebrate diversity patterns. Frontiers of Biogeography, 5: 179-184. Read
    • Morales-Castilla, I., Rodríguez, M.Á., Kaur, R. & Hawkins, B.A. (2013) Range size patterns of New World oscine passerines (Aves): insights from differences among migratory and sedentary clades. Journal of Biogeography, 40: 2261–2273, doi:10.1111/jbi.12159.

    2012

    • Morales-Castilla, I., Rodríguez, M.Á. & Hawkins, B.A. (2012) Deep phylogeny, net primary productivity and the global bird body size gradient. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 106: 880-892. Read
    • Morales-Castilla, I., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., Purvis, A., Hawkins, B.A. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2012) The imprint of Cenozoic migrations and evolutionary history on the biogeographic gradient of body size in New World mammals. The American Naturalist, 180: 246-256. Read
    • Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Bini, L.M., Rangel, T.F., Morales-Castilla, I., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., Rodríguez, M.Á. & Hawkins B.A. (2012) On the selection of phylogenetic eigenvectors for ecological analyses. Ecography, 35: 239–249. Read

    2011

    • Morales-Castilla, I., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., Bini, L.M., de Marco Jr, P., Hawkins, B.A. & Rodríguez, M.Á. (2011) Niche conservatism and species richness patterns of squamate reptiles in eastern and southern Africa. Austral Ecology, 36: 550-558. Read

    2009

    • Bini, L.M., Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Rangel, T.F.L.V.B., Akre, T.S.B., Albaladejo, R.G., Albuquerque, F.S., Aparicio, A., Araújo, M.B., Baselga, A., Beck, J., Bellocq, M.I., Böhning-Gaese, K., Borges, P.A.V., Castro-Parga, I., Chey, V.K., Chown, S.L., de Marco, P., Dobkin, D.S., Ferrer-Castán, D., Field, R., Filloy, J., Fleishman, E., Gómez, J.F., Hortal, J., Iverson, J.B., Kerr, J.T., Kissling, W.D., Kitching, I.J., León-Cortés, J.L., Lobo, J.M., Montoya, D., Morales-Castilla, I., Moreno, J.C., Oberdorff, T., Olalla-Tárraga, M.Á., Pausas, J.G., Qian, H., Rahbek, C., Rodríguez, M.Á., Rueda, M., Ruggiero, A., Sackmann, P., Sanders, N.J., Terribile, L.C., Vetaas, O.R. & Hawkins, B.A. (2009) Coefficient shifts in geographical ecology: An empirical evaluation on spatial and non-spatial regression. Ecography, 32: 1-12. Read
    • Terribile, L.C., Olalla-Tarraga, M.Á., Morales-Castilla, I., Rueda, M., Vidanes, R.M., Rodríquez, M.Á. & Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. (2009) Global richness patterns of venomous snakes reveal contrasting influences of ecology and history in two different clades. Oecologia, 159: 617–626.

    Peer-reviewed presentations at conferences (last 5 years)

    • “Chilling dominates forcing and photoperiod cues to determine tree budburst in experiments, complicating forecasts for natural systems”. American Geophysical Union, San Francisco (USA), 2019
    • “Quantifying the potential of agrobiodiversity to adapt agriculture to climate change”. Society of Iberian Ecology Meeting, Barcelona (Spain), 2019
    • “Applied biogeography under global change: lessons from process-based applications in agronomy and forestry”. Keynote talk. International Biogeography Society 9th Biennial Meeting meeting, Málaga (Spain), 2019
    • “Predicting future host-parasite interactions due to climate change-driven range shifts”. IBS Climate Change Biogeography meeting, Évora (Portugal), 2018
    • “Adapting wine to climate change: same regions, different varieties”. 102nd Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, (USA), 2017
    • “The future of wine under climate change”. II Encuentro de Científicos Españoles en USA (ECUSA), Boston, MA, (USA), 2017
    • “Phylogeny and co-occurrence improve species distribution model forecasts”. International Biogeography Society 8th Biennial Meeting, Tucson, AZ, (USA), 2017
    • “The power of phylogeny to improving single species distribution models”. 2015 QCBS Symposium, Montreal, (Canada), 2015
    • “What can life-history traits tell us about species’ ability to cope with climate change? A multi-taxon approach” International Biogeography Society 7th Biennial Meeting, Bayreuth, (Germany), 2015
    • “Using phylogeny to improve single species distribution models”. International Biogeography Society 7th Biennial Meeting, Bayreuth, (Germany), 2015
    • “Synthetizing Worldwide Ecology, Evolution and Physiology (sWEEP): Unifying marine and terrestrial biodiversity at the interplay of macroecology, macroevolution and macrophysiology”. International Biogeography Society 7th Biennial Meeting, Bayreuth, (Germany), 2015
    • “Can we predict biotic interactions from proxies?”. 2014 QCBS Symposium , Montreal, (Canada), 2014
    • “Biotic exchange, climatic niche conservatism and reversed latitudinal diversity gradients”.IBS Special Meeting on "The Geography of Species Associations", Montreal (Canada), 2013
    • “Biogeographic patterns of forest fragmentation at the global and regional scales”. 6th Conference of the International Biogeography Society, Miami (USA), 2013
    • “Biogeography of range sizes of New World oscine passerines (Aves): separating ecology and evolution for migratory and resident clades”. 6th Conference of the International Biogeography Society, Miami (USA), 2013

    Invited lectures at international advanced schools

    • “Efectos del cambio climático en la biodiversidad y la agrobiodiversidad, a través del tiempo y el espacio”. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) - Instituto de Hortofruticultura Subtropical y Mediterránea La Mayora, Málaga (Spain), April 2019
    • “Enhancing forecasts of climate change effects on biodiversity and agrobiodiversity”. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) - Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales, Madrid (Spain), March 2019
    • “Climate change effects on biodiversity in space and time”. Institute Nationale Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Avignon (France), 2017
    • “Forecasting host-parasite interactions networks under climate change”. University of Georgia, Georgia (USA), 2016
    • “Inferring biotic interactions from proxies”. University of Évora, Évora (Portugal), 2014
    • “Biotic exchange, climatic niche conservatism and reversed latitudinal diversity gradients”. Stony Brooks University, New York (USA), 2013
    • “Using the past and the present to protect the future of biodiversity”. University of Évora, Évora (Portugal), 2013
    • “Biodiversity and Niche Conservatism. Using the past to understand the present and the future”.University of Alcalá, Alcalá de Henares (Spain), 2012
    • “Historical and evolutionary constraints in body size gradients”. University of Copenhaguen, Copenhaguen (Denmark), 2011
    • “Deep phylogenetic relationships and productivity explain most of the global bird body size gradient”. Australian National University, Canberra (Australia), 2011
    • “Niche Conservatism explains species richness of squamate reptiles in southern and eastern Africa”. Imperial College London, London (UK), 2010